👨💻[INFOGRAPHIC] The 10 times in history that software engineers were to be replaced
AI won’t replace developers—it’ll create more demand. This article breaks down the history of automation fears and how to future-proof your tech career
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Every year, a new technology appears promising to automate away software engineers. Today, the buzz is all about AI, with headlines screaming about code-generating robots poised to make developers obsolete.
But here's a secret that will make you rethink the panic: this fear isn't new. Not even close. In fact, as far back as 2008, tech veterans like Robert C. Martin ("Uncle Bob") were already skeptical of claims that code would be magically generated. Back then, it was about CASE tools and UML!
The tools change, from punch cards to assembly language to today's sophisticated AI, but the underlying narrative remains the same: Developers will be obsolete soon. Yet, here we are. Despite CursorAI, Lovable, Bolt… we are still coding and innovating.
History shows us that automation doesn't eliminate engineering; it evolves it. Today I wrote about the timeline of software development revolutions, revealing how we've repeatedly faced similar fears.
⭐ In this post you'll learn
How software development has evolved from punch cards to AI
The impact of disruptive changes on career growth
Why early adoption can give you an edge over your peers
🏆 Let’s get serious about our careers
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🔥 #1 The timeline of software development revolutions
Early days: Punch cards & machine language (1940-1950)
The first period of software development relied on punch cards and direct machine interaction. Engineers coded using physical cards and binary sequences. The process was slow, manual, and accessible to only a few specialists.
What people were saying:
The work was seen as tedious and error-prone.
Only a select group could master this technique.
How people adapted:
The limits of punch card systems led to the search for abstraction.
This need paved the way for the development of assembly language.
The shortcomings of punch cards pushed engineers to rethink coding methods. Their experience with basic computation laid the groundwork for future innovations. The era set the stage for more user-friendly programming methods.
Assembly language (1950s-1960s)
Assembly language emerged to simplify the direct handling of binary code. Developers started using mnemonic codes to represent machine instructions. This period marked a shift toward a more human-readable form of programming.
What people were saying:
Assembly was seen as an improvement but still tied to hardware.
Some argued that simplifying code with assembly might remove necessary control.
How people adapted:
Engineers started using assembly almost for everything
The method provided incremental productivity gains and set a path for higher-level languages.
The introduction of assembly language reduced the burden of low-level coding. The improved readability allowed more engineers to work on complex projects. Over time, the desire for further abstraction grew as demands increased.
High-level compiled languages (1950-1970)
High-level compiled languages like FORTRAN, COBOL, and C brought coding closer to human language. Developers embraced languages that abstracted machine instructions and some memory management tasks. This period was marked by a significant jump in productivity.
What people were saying:
The change was revolutionary, though some feared losing touch with hardware details.
Critics warned that reliance on compilers might lead to inefficient coding practices.
How people adapted:
Programmers shifted their focus to logic and application design.
Companies began to see large, complex applications as attainable projects.
The move to high-level languages allowed for a broader base of programmers. It expanded the scope of what could be built, moving away from specialized tasks. This shift paved the way for more dynamic software development methods.
Operating systems, structured programming & time-sharing (1960-1980)
The development of operating systems centralized hardware management. Structured programming replaced arbitrary coding with disciplined logic. Time-sharing introduced the concept of interactive computing, enabling multiple users to access systems concurrently.
What people were saying:
There was concern about the overhead introduced by operating systems.
The complexity of structured programming and time-sharing was met with initial resistance.
How people adapted:
Engineers learned to manage new layers of abstraction.
The benefits of interactive and organized computing soon became clear.
This period was crucial for establishing the modern computing environment. The changes addressed previous limitations and supported a growing number of users. The industry's focus shifted from basic computation to enhancing the quality of code.
Personal computers, GUIs, IDEs & object-oriented programming (1970-1990)
The rise of personal computers made programming more accessible. Graphical user interfaces and integrated development environments simplified the coding process. Object-oriented programming introduced a new way to manage complexity by organizing code into objects.
What people were saying:
Critics feared user-friendly interfaces might weaken programming skills. I bet these people are Vim users today 🙄.
There were fears that new tools would cause dependency on automated environments.
How people adapted:
Developers adopted personal computing and learned object-oriented principles, applying patterns that allowed software to scale.
The industry moved toward creating user-friendly and efficient applications.
This era democratized software development. More engineers could participate in coding without extensive hardware knowledge. The shift led to a broader distribution of programming skills and opened up new career paths.
The internet, web browsers & scripting languages (1990-2010)
The internet transformed the software landscape by creating a new platform for development. Web browsers and scripting languages like JavaScript, PHP, and Python allowed for dynamic content. This period redefined how applications were built and delivered.
What people were saying:
Many believed a desktop application working offline was better than depending on network connectivity to work.
There was skepticism about the security and performance of scripting languages.
How people adapted:
Developers embraced web technologies and shifted their skill sets.
The market evolved to support new roles focused on client-server models.
The emergence of the web led to a major transformation in the industry. Engineers started building interactive applications that reached a wide audience. The period set the foundation for a new era in software design.
Frameworks, libraries, IDE enhancements & open source (Late 1990s-2010s)
The introduction of frameworks and libraries brought structured components to development. Enhanced IDEs streamlined coding tasks. Open source initiatives encouraged collaboration and reuse of code.
What people were saying:
There was worry about losing understanding of the code.
Some questioned whether relying on pre-built modules could lead to errors.
How people adapted:
Developers began to integrate frameworks and libraries into their work.
The community embraced open source, resulting in rapid innovation and shared knowledge.
This period saw a significant leap in development efficiency. The reuse of code allowed for faster project turnaround. Engineers adjusted by focusing on higher-level design and system integration.
Cloud computing & DevOps (Mid-2000s onwards)
Cloud computing abstracted away the complexities of physical hardware. DevOps practices introduced automated deployment and continuous integration. These advancements redefined how software was delivered and maintained.
What people were saying:
Concerns over job security in traditional IT roles.
Risks of vendor lock-in and cloud security.
How people adapted:
Engineers learned cloud platforms and automated tools.
The transition to a code-centric approach to infrastructure became the norm.
Tools like Terraform allowed engineers to create infrastructure in different vendors
The shift to cloud computing marked a turning point in operational efficiency. Developers found that managing infrastructure through code saved time and resources. This evolution set a new standard for software delivery and maintenance.
Low-code/no-code & early AI assistants (Late 2010s - Early 2020s)
Low-code and no-code platforms reduced the need for traditional programming. Early AI assistants provided basic coding support and suggestions. Website builders threatened to destroy the job of web developers. These tools expanded access to software development by simplifying the coding process.
What people were saying:
Skeptics thought that these tools could make professional programmers lose their jobs.
Some argued that visual interfaces were not suited for complex tasks.
How people adapted:
Developers used low-code platforms for specific internal tools and simple applications.
Thanks to tools like WordPress or Wix, more webs were built instead of taking the job of web developers.
Early AI tools were integrated into workflows to handle routine tasks and code generation.
This period introduced new ways to approach software development. Engineers gained access to tools that could handle repetitive tasks. The integration of visual programming and AI set the stage for more advanced techniques.
The generative AI wave (2022-Present)
The current era is defined by advanced language models that generate and debug code. Tools like ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini have transformed how engineers approach problem-solving. The field is undergoing rapid change as AI becomes a core component of development.
What people were saying:
AI will replace software engineers.
Concerns about code quality, security, and maintainability.
How people adapted:
Early adopters are learning prompt engineering and integrating AI into their workflows.
Engineers now focus on higher-level system design and verification while leveraging AI for routine tasks.
Developers are experimenting with AI in their coding, reducing manual errors. We’ll have to watch closely as AI continues to redefine the role of the software engineer.
💡 #2 Why staying ahead of new trends is critical
Psychological barriers often slow the adoption of new tools. Many engineers cling to past methods. This anchoring to tradition can prevent them from seeing new opportunities.
The fear of the unknown is a common response to disruptive change. Early research shows that change creates anxiety. Recognizing this pattern helps engineers overcome hesitation and adopt new practices.
Early adopters gain a competitive edge in the industry. They learn new tools quickly and use them to improve daily work. Their experience helps them set standards and influence their peers.
The shift in the industry is not only about technology but also about culture. Changing work practices can lead to more efficient processes. Engineers who learn to use modern tools stay relevant and ready for future changes.
Adapting to new trends helps build a unique skill set. This skill set distinguishes engineers from those who are slower to change. It also opens doors to new roles and opportunities within the tech community.
The ongoing transformation of the software field means that change is constant. Early adoption of emerging tools like AI coding assistants positions you ahead of the curve. A proactive approach to learning new techniques can make your work more efficient and your career path clearer.
🎯 Conclusion
The timeline of software development shows a steady evolution from manual methods to AI-assisted coding. Each stage brought its own challenges and required engineers to adapt quickly. History proves that those who adopt early gain an advantage.
Staying ahead means understanding both the technical changes and the psychology behind resistance. Early adopters set trends and influence the broader industry. They learn to use new tools to stay competitive.
AI might seem like it will reduce the need for engineers, but history tells a different story. According to Jevons Paradox, when a resource becomes more efficient to use, demand for it often increases—not decreases. As AI lowers the barrier to creating digital products, more businesses and individuals will want custom software. The result? More demand for skilled engineers who can design, integrate, and maintain these AI-powered systems.
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. Find time for what you truly value, as life's experiences have a shelf life that may close before you're ready. Interesting to learn things from people I don’t actively follow like Mr Beast.The Courage to Be Vulnerable in Tech as a Career Switcher by
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. AI agents represent a significant evolution in how we can automate complex tasks, enabling software to function more as collaborators rather than mere tools.
Every new tool creates more problems to solve.
AI won’t remove developers - it’ll just shift what we need to build, secure, and scale.
Thanks for the mention, Fran.
This article is gold. Keep up the good work.
It is great to see your newsletter growing!